September 1, 2020 How to Know Who Will Win in November A frequent question from clients, friends and even strangers these days is “what will the election do to the stock market?”  History shows us several trends generated by presidential elections. Even if no one knows for sure exactly what will happen, these trends show us what happens, on average, in election years. On average during

August 4, 2020 Zombie Apocalypse Hits Markets No one is right all the time in this business, and I’ll admit that I expected the stock markets to be doing a swan dive right about now as company earnings reporting is in full swing and much of the news is dismal. But the markets seem to be defying gravity even as earnings in many companies decline. I

July 1, 2020 Ready for a Double-Dip Recession? That our economy is in a recession caused by stay-at-home orders is no surprise, but the recession was formally declared for the first time last week by some government group. The recession is not directly caused by the virus, but more due to the avoidance of face-to-face contact required to produce many goods and provide services, once people

June 2, 2020 Waiting for the Next Shoe to Drop It is difficult to address issues in the context of “getting back to normal” in the midst of a never-seen-before pandemic like we are experiencing.  Yet that is what most of us yearn for, to get back to normal. The financial markets have breathed a collective sigh of relief as well, as lockdown restrictions have been

April 30, 2020 Flattening the Curve or the Economy? The economic shutdown is intended to slow the spread of Covid-19 and flatten the rising curve on the graphs of Covid-19 cases, but it is also flattening our economy. The financial crisis in 2008 did not destroy industries, but the current economic shutdowns are going to do much more damage to our economy. This makes it a